Mullen Stoker - Durham Accountant, Business Advice, Tax Advice, Tax Returns, Durham, Uk

Posts Tagged ‘GDP’

Britain’s economy could face £84bn black hole post-Brexit

Tuesday, November 29th, 2016

Image result for uk economy

Britain’s economy could face a black hole of £84bn ($102.3bn) by the time the Chancellor sets out his spending plans in the Autumn Statement next month, a think tank has warned.

According to a report from the Resolution Foundation, the deteriorating economic outlook, increased spending and lower tax receipts in the aftermath of Brexit could leave the government facing a shortfall until 2020-21.

The think-tank warned the Treasury would face a £23bn deficit at the end of the parliament, meaning the government would have to find a combined £84bn to balance the books over the next five years. However, the Foundation added, the only way to do so would be by implementing cuts or allow for extra borrowing.

George Osborne’s pledge to achieve a budget surplus by 2020 has already been abandoned by the government, which by then could be confronted with an economy £60bn smaller than it was expected to be before the referendum.

(more…)

UK economy is braced for interesting times as Brexit phoney war end

Saturday, November 26th, 2016

Theresa May and Philip Hammond

The four months since the Brexit vote have been something of a phoney war. Life for most has trundled on just as before. The shops have been full. Employment has continued to rise. Britain is still the low pay, low productivity country it always was. If someone had left in early June and returned today without access to the news, they would never know there had been a referendum.

The release of the growth figures for the third quarter of 2016 on Thursday will reinforce the sense that not much has changed.

In August, the Bank of England expected the economy to almost stall but it has had second thoughts in the light of more upbeat data. The consensus in the City is for growth of 0.3-0.4%, down on the second quarter but hardly a disaster.

(more…)

UK economy grows 0.5% in three months after Brexit vote

Saturday, November 5th, 2016

GDP graph

The UK’s service sector helped the economy to grow faster than expected in the three months after the Brexit vote, official figures have indicated.

The economy expanded by 0.5% in the July-to-September period, according to the Office for National Statistics.

That was slower than the 0.7% rate in the previous quarter, but stronger than analysts’ estimates of about 0.3%.

“There is little evidence of a pronounced effect in the immediate aftermath of the vote,” the ONS said.

The stronger than expected growth will further dampen expectations that the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee will cut interest rates next week.

(more…)

Brexit vote ‘will not dent economy this year’ as UK growth forecasts back to pre-referendum levels

Friday, October 7th, 2016

The UK’s decision to leave the EU will not dent growth at all this year, according to economic forecasts compiled by the Treasury, in a complete reversal of the gloomy short term forecasts made after the EU referendum. Panic has faded rapidly among the dozens of independent economists consulted by the Treasury as strong data in the three months since the vote reassured the analysts that any shock from the vote was far less severe than first feared. Forecasts for 2016’s GDP growth had been chopped to 1.5pc immediately after the 23 June ballot, but economists have reversed those downgrades and now expect growth of 1.8pc – exactly the same as they predicted before the vote. The study of dozens of analysts’ work also shows that forecasters still expect the economy to slow down next year, but they are increasingly revising those forecasts upward. In July the average prediction was for growth of 0.5pc in 2017, but now it almost doubled to 0.9pc – though it remains below the 2.1pc average forecast before the vote.

(more…)

newsletter
sitemap
contact us